Impact Trust • Working glossary

Existential risk

Risk of human extinction or permanent civilisational collapse.

Details

Our Take
Powerful label but often overused. Does important work when used precisely and actively harmful alarmist work when applied loosely (every bad outcome labelled 'existential'). The useful distinction is between existential risk (civilisational) and the lived experience of communities for whom the current situation already feels existential. The derailment risk framing is more operationally useful because it names the mechanism, not just the magnitude.
Examples of Use
Risk and futures researchers
Synonyms/Variants
X-risk; Civilisational risk; Global catastrophic risk (slightly broader)
Typical everyday wording
Risks that could end or permanently ruin human civilisation